While most bettors are familiar with key numbers, few know what they mean or why they are important. You are at a disadvantage if you don’t พนันบอลออนไลน์ key numbers in. Let’s all make sure they are understood.
The key numbers in football refer to the difference between the winning team’s points and the losers’ points. This is a very obvious example: If the game score is 28-17, then the margin that we care about is 11. Any margin in a football game is possible within reason, certainly any one- or two-digit margin. Expert sports handicappers know that there are certain margins that are more common than others. Key numbers are the numbers most commonly used.
Three is the most important number. A study covering 17 years of games found that the winning margin was three percent in 15.1 per cent of all games. This is why? Think about how many times a football game is tied up until one team kicks the final field goal. You can also see how many times teams trade points, with only the difference being a field goal.
Seven is the second most popular key number. This margin is evident when a team wins by more than one touchdown. This percentage was reached in 7.1 percent games. Three other important numbers are also very common for sports bettors. They occur approximately the same number of times, between 5.8 to six percent. These numbers include six (two field goals or an unconverted touchdown), four (4 the difference between a touchdown and a field goal), and 10 (10 a field goal and touchdown difference).
It is important to note that approximately 40% of games end with one of these five winning margins. It’s interesting, but what is the point?
Three key numbers, in particular, can reveal a lot about how the oddsmakers think about a game. If a line opens with the favorite team being 2.5 points ahead, books will dare people to place bets on that team. The key number of three is on your side when you bet the favorite at the tat line. This makes the winning outcome more likely than if the line were set at 3. Although it is a great opportunity, I find it very nerve-wracking when I see such a line. Books shouldn’t be afraid to take action on a football team. If they actively encourage it in cases like this, then they have good reasons. If the favorite team is one that I like, then I will be cautious about backing them. Books don’t want to encourage you make bets that you are likely to win. This is true even if the lines are -3.5, 2.5, 5.5, 6.5, & -9.5. I am not saying that I wouldn’t take a line of +2.5. It sets off alarms in me and forces me to think about whether I am right.
It is also important to have key numbers because a แทงบอลออนไลน์ number becomes a key number, a book will be very reluctant to change it. For example, if a game opens at -2.5, but they have to make it move to -3, this is a sign that the book is reluctant to change. To force the line to rise another half-point to 3.5, it will require more action than usual on the favorite. Sportsbooks don’t like getting middled. You can earn as much as 20/1 on your investment by middling. If you choose the favorite at 2.5, and then the underdog at 3.5, you will win one bet while losing the other. If the margin of victory was 1,2, or 4, your net loss would be $10. You would make $200 profit if the game ends on the key number three. The key number of three is only hit around 15% of the time, so you’d lose $10 85 times out of 100 for an $850 total loss. However, you’d win $200 15 times to make a total profit totaling $3000. This net profit is $2150. There’s very little risk in the long-term of making any other than a healthy profit. Middling is the best way to lose money for books.
You can learn a few things from this. If you have the chance to place a bet on a middle, do it. A game at three is more likely to remain there than if it opened at three. Sportsbooks will charge -120 and -130 to place bets on favorites, in order to compensate for the unwillingness of the line to move. You can make unwittingly lose bets that have a negative impact on your chances of winning. The odds of you winning at -130 are much higher than at -110.
Understanding key numbers will help you make informed decisions about the timing of your bets on sports. It might be a good idea to wait to place your bet if the favorite team is at +2.5. This will ensure that the key number will work in your favor or not against you. To avoid paying too much, you should make your bet if your number is at +3 by the time it arrives.
One last interesting case involving key numbers that we will touch on is the Wong teaser. These are football teasers that allow you to use the six-point adjustment to make it possible for you move through key numbers 3 and 7. If a game is at 8.5, then you can tease it by six points to make it to -2.5. The two largest key numbers now are on your side. These teasers were popularized several years ago. It was proven to be profitable long-term when teasers included two or more games that meet the criteria. As you might expect, sportsbooks didn’t enjoy this as much. Therefore, it is now more difficult for football handicappers and their line placements to be successful.